Thursday, February 29, 2024

New York Knicks at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

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The New York Knicks (42-31) battle the Miami Heat (39-34) on Wednesday. Tip from Miami-Dade Arena is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Knicks vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

New York fell 140-134 at home to the Minnesota Timberwolves on Monday failing to cover as an 8-point favorite. The loss snapped a 3-game winning streak. In its last 10 games, New York is 6-4 straight up and against the spread (ATS). The Knicks are 40-30-3 ATS this season.

Miami beat Detroit 112-100 on Sunday to cover as 10-point road favorites. It has now won 3 of its last 4 games and is 6-4 in its last 10. In that stretch, the Heat are 4-6 ATS to fall to 27-44-2 ATS on the season.

New York has won both previous matchups this season winning 106-104 to cover as 3-point home underdogs in early February and winning 122-120 to cover as 1-point road underdogs in early March.


Knicks at Heat odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:51 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Knicks +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Heat -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Knicks +1.5 (-110) | Heat -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Knicks at Heat key injuries



  • PG Kyle Lowry (knee) questionable
  • SF Caleb Martin (knee) questionable
  • PF Cody Zeller (nose) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Knicks at Heat picks and predictions


Knicks 109, Heat 106



The Knicks have played great as underdogs this season. In games they have played as 1-2.5-point underdogs they are 11-4 ATS while the Heat are just 7-9 ATS while playing as a 1-2.5-point favorite. New York is also 24-12 ATS on the road this season while Miami is just 12-24-1 ATS at home.

Where the true discrepancy lays is in the Heat offense against the Knicks defense. The Knicks rank 11th in opponent points per game, 3rd in opponent FG percentage, and 5th in opponent 3-point percentage while the Heat offense ranks 30th, 27th, and 28th in the league respectively. Expect the Knicks to create problems for the Heat offense which will allow them to steal a victory in Miami and move to 3-0 against them this season.

Against the spread


While the stats support backing the Knicks spread, the moneyline presents more profit.


BET UNDER 224.5 (-112).

Both teams strength is their defense. With Miami ranking 2nd in the league in opponent points per game and the Knicks ranking 11th and 3rd in opponent field goal percentage, points will be tough to come by.

The Under is 5-1 in the Knicks last 6 games following a ATS loss and 5-1 in their last 6 games following an outright loss, The Under is also 5-2 in their last 7 games.

For the Heat, the Under is 5-1 in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest and 5-1 in their last 6 home games against a team with a winning road record. The Under has also hit in their last 2 games.

For sports betting picks and tips, check out and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator and please gamble responsibly.

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