Saturday, March 2, 2024

March Madness: Duke vs. Tennessee odds, picks and predictions

Must read

The 5th-seeded Duke Blue Devils (27-8) and 4th-seeded Tennessee Volunteers (24-10) meet Saturday in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. Tip from Amway Center in Orlando is scheduled for approximately 2:40 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Duke vs. Tennessee odds as we make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Duke routed Oral Roberts 74-51 in the opening game of the tourney, easily covering as a 5.5-point favorite as the Under (147) cashed.

The Blue Devils clamped down on the Golden Eagles, limiting ORU to just 30% (19 of 63) from the field and posting a plus-14 rebounding margin. Duke shot 48% (31 of 64) and turned it over just 8 times. G Jeremy Roach, the most experienced Duke player in terms of NCAA Tournament games, racked up a game-high 23 points on 9-of-17 shooting.

Tennessee had a close shave in a 58-55 victory over Louisiana, although it came nowhere near covering as an 11.5-point favorite while the Under (135.5) comfortably came through. Tennessee led by 18 points with 11 minutes to go, but Louisiana had a furious comeback.

The Vols shot 46% (21 of 46), but were just 57% (12 of 21) from the free-throw line. Tennessee was sloppy with 16 turnovers, and it held just a 27-to-23 rebounding margin. It will obviously have to be much better to get by Duke.

Check out: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll


Duke vs. Tennessee odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:25 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Duke -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Tennessee +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Duke -3.5 (-110) | Tennessee +3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 128.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Stream select live college basketball games and full replays: Get ESPN+

Duke vs. Tennessee picks and predictions


Duke 65, Tennessee 60


DUKE (-170) isn’t priced out of line if you’d just like to pick it straight up and avoid fiddling around with the points.

Tennessee is just 6-7 straight-up (SU) and 4-9 ATS in the past 13 games. For whatever reason, the Vols are just not hitting on all cylinders right now.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Against the spread

Take DUKE -3.5 (-110) with the points, which is substantially cheaper.

The Blue Devils are on a roll with a season-high 10 straight wins, and they’ve covered a season-high 5 in a row, too. Duke was just 8-18 ATS in the 26 games prior to the impressive 5-0 ATS run.

The Volunteers are 4-9 ATS in the past 13 games and 1-5 ATS in the past 6 games against teams with a winning overall mark. In addition, the Vols are just 1-7 ATS in the past 8 NCAA Tournament outings.


The UNDER 128.5 (-110) is worth a look but with a half-unit wager at most.

The Under is 4-1 in the past 5 neutral-site games for the Vols and is 7-2 in the past 9 neutral-site games for the Blue Devils. In addition, the Under is 9-3-1 in the past 13 games for Duke against teams with a winning percentage greater than .600.

For sports betting picks and tips, check out and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator and please gamble responsibly.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / Iowa / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / USC / Wisconsin / College Football News

Gannett may earn revenue from sports betting operators for audience referrals to betting services. Sports betting operators have no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. Terms apply, see operator site for Terms and Conditions. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. Call the National Council on Problem Gambling 24/7 at 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, OH), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). Must be 21 or older to gamble. Sports betting and gambling are not legal in all locations. Be sure to comply with laws applicable where you reside.

Latest article