Sunday, February 25, 2024

MAC Tournament: Miami (Ohio) vs. Toledo odds, picks and predictions

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The 8th-seeded Miami (Ohio) Redhawks (12-19) meet the No. 1 Toledo Rockets (26-6) Thursday in a Mid-American Conference Tournament quarterfinal. Tip-off at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland is 11 a.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Miami vs. Toledo odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Miami went 6-12 in MAC play, but since losing to Toledo 89-71 as 16.5-point underdogs on Feb. 14, the Redhawks have gone 4-1. Over that stretch, Miami has displayed improved defense after struggling at that end of the floor much of the season.

Toledo, which also won at Miami 81-78 on Jan. 31 but failed to cover the 10.5-spread, went 16-2 in conference play. The Rockets have not lost since Jan. 10, going 15-0 since that date. Toledo is a tremendous 3-point shooting team; its 40.2% accuracy mark ranks 2nd in the nation.

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Miami vs. Toledo odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 9:52 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Off the board
  • Against the spread (ATS): Miami +13.5 (-115) | Toledo -13.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 157.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Miami vs. Toledo picks and predictions

Prediction

Toledo 87, Miami 71

Moneyline

Not available.

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Against the spread

Toledo is 5-1 ATS against Miami since 2021. The RedHawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral-site games.

The spread here is lofty. Miami played Toledo tight losing only by 3 on Jan. 31 as the Redhawks hit 10 triples in that game while Toledo managed just 10 free-throw attempts.

Look for advantages in most areas of the game swaying to the Rockets. And because of that game, Toledo won’t overlook Miami.

Consider a partial-unit play on the ROCKETS -13.5 (-105).

Over/Under

The Over is 4-2 in the last 6 series meetings, but this game looks to be fairly numbered. The Rockets and Redhawks play at a mid-pace. Look for a lot of 3s to crank the total into the 155-to-160 range.

PASS.

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