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2024 U.S. Open odds, predictions, picks: Scottie Scheffler projection from golf model that’s hit last 2 majors

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Another weekend, another Scottie Scheffler victory. Even with the world’s No. 1 ranked golfer shooting 2-over-par on Sunday, Scheffler was able to hold on to win his fifth PGA Tour event in 13 competitions at the Memorial Tournament. Scheffler has finished no worse than second in seven of his last eight tournaments, including winning the 2024 Masters. Scheffler enters the 2024 U.S. Open as the unquestioned top golfer in the world and the odds reflect that. In fact, Scheffler is an 11-4 favorite in the latest 2024 U.S. Open odds.

Scheffler’s run of being such a heavy favorite is beginning to replicate Tiger Woods’ stretch in the 2000s. Xander Schauffele, Bryson DeChambeau and Rory McIlroy follow at 10-1 in the 2024 U.S. Open field. The U.S. Open 2024 tees off from Pinehurst No. 2 in North Carolina on Thursday, so who should you include in 2024 U.S. Open prediction? Before locking in your 2024 U.S. Open picks or Scottie Scheffler props, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up almost $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure’s model correctly predicted Scottie Scheffler would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2024 Masters, the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and The Players Championship this season. McClure also included Hideki Matsuyama in his best bets to win the 2024 Genesis Invitational. That bet hit at +9000, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned nearly $1,000.

The model also predicted Jon Rahm would be victorious at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm’s second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scheffler winning in 2022.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 12 majors entering the weekend, including three straight Masters and the 2024 PGA Championship. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now with the U.S. Open 2024 field taking shape, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 U.S. Open predictions 

One major surprise: Brooks Koepka, a 20-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Koepka, a two-time U.S. Open winner, won back-to-back in 2017 and 2018 before finishing second in 2019. Koepka has finished in the top five in four of his last eight U.S. Open tournaments. The 34-year-old won a golf event in Singapore during the first weekend in May and is coming off finishing T-9 in Houston last weekend.

Koepka has nine PGA Tour career victories, most recently winning the 2023 PGA Championship. Outside of the pandemic-altered 2020 season, Koepka entered this year with a major victory in four of his last six seasons. With only two majors left this season, Koepka is running out of opportunities to continue that trend. At 20-1 odds, the model likes Koepka in 2024 U.S. Open bets. 

The model has also examined where Scottie Scheffler finishes. Scheffler is coming off a victory at the Memorial Tournament, which marked his first career PGA Tour win after the month of April. Following his victory at Muirfield Village, Scheffler joined Tiger Woods (2001) as the only golfer to win the Masters, Players Championship, the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and the Memorial, all in the same season.

Scheffler’s dominant run is a feat golf fans haven’t seen in quite a while. The 27-year-old enters the U.S. Open 2024 ranked first in several statistical categories, including strokes gained: total (2.913), scoring average (67.71), birdie average (5.22), greens in regulation percentage (73.52%) and putting average (1.666). He has all the tools needed to win his first U.S. Open title this week at Pinehurst. The model just locked in its Scottie Scheffler U.S. Open picks here..

How to make 2024 U.S. Open picks

The model is also targeting two other golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.

Who will win the 2024 U.S. Open, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the U.S. Open 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected U.S. Open leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 12 golf majors, including the last three Masters and the PGA Championship.

2024 U.S. Open odds, field

Get full 2024 U.S. Open picks, best bets, and predictions here.

Scottie Scheffler 11-4
Rory McIlroy 10-1
Xander Schauffele 10-1
Bryson DeChambeau 10-1
Viktor Hovland 12-1
Ludvig Aberg 14-1
Collin Morikawa 14-1
Brooks Koepka 20-1
Jon Rahm 25-1
Patrick Cantlay 28-1
Cameron Smith 28-1
Max Homa 28-1
Wyndham Clark 33-1
Justin Thomas 35-1
Hideki Matsuyama 35-1
Cameron Young 40-1
Dustin Johnson 40-1
Jordan Spieth 40-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 40-1
Sahith Theegala 45-1
Tom Kim 45-1
Tony Finau 45-1
Tommy Fleetwood 45-1
Jason Day 45-1
Sungjae Im 50-1
Min Woo Lee 50-1
Tyrrell Hatton 50-1
Si Woo Kim 55-1
Will Zalatoris 55-1
Shane Lowry 60-1
Corey Conners 60-1
Sam Burns 60-1
Dean Burmester 60-1
Keegan Bradley 60-1
Byeong-Hun An 70-1
Brian Harman 75-1
Patrick Reed 80-1
Sepp Straka 90-1
Stephan Jaeger 90-1
David Puig 90-1
Russell Henley 90-1
Adrian Meronk 90-1
Jake Knapp 100-1
Justin Rose 100-1
Billy Horschel 100-1
Chris Kirk 100-1
Aaron Rai 100-1
Nicolai Hojgaard 100-1
Thomas Detry 125-1
Eric Cole 125-1
Phil Mickelson 125-1
Rickie Fowler 125-1
Tom McKibbin 125-1
Akshay Bhatia 125-1
Tiger Woods 125-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 125-1
Austin Eckroat 150-1
Victor Perez 150-1
Taylor Pendrith 150-1
Daniel Berger 150-1
Denny McCarthy 150-1
Cameron Davis 150-1
Emiliano Grillo 175-1
Taylor Moore 175-1
Ryan Fox 175-1
Tom Hoge 175-1
Harris English 175-1
Eugenio Chacarra 175-1
Adam Schenk 175-1
Adam Hadwin 175-1
Erik Van Rooyen 200-1
Nick Taylor 200-1
Kurt Kitayama 200-1
Rikuya Hoshino 200-1
J.T. Poston 200-1
Mackenzie Hughes 200-1
Beau Hossler 200-1
Lucas Glover 200-1
Seamus Power 225-1
Grant Forrest 225-1
Adam Svensson 225-1
Davis Thompson 225-1
Harry Higgs 250-1
Gary Woodland 250-1
Mark Hubbard 250-1
Matthieu Pavon 250-1
Richard Mansell 250-1
Webb Simpson 250-1
Greyson Sigg 250-1
Ben Kohles 300-1
Brendon Todd 300-1
Tim Widing 300-1
Sam Bairstow 300-1
Peter Malnati 300-1
Sam Bennett 300-1
Matteo Manassero 300-1
Gordon Sargent 300-1
Jason Scrivener 300-1
Justin Lower 350-1
Casey Jarvis 350-1
Chesson Hadley 350-1
Nicolas Echavarria 350-1
Nick Dunlap 350-1
Zac Blair 350-1
Frankie Capan III 400-1
Max Greyserman 400-1
Matt Kuchar 400-1
S.H. Kim 400-1
Robert Rock 400-1
Chris Petefish 400-1
Rico Hoey 400-1
Wells Williams 500-1
Sung Kang 500-1
Charles Reiter 500-1
Federik Kjettrup 500-1
Ashton McCulloch 500-1
Ryo Ishikawa 500-1
Isaiah Salinda 500-1
Mcclure Meissner 500-1
Brandon Wu 500-1
Jackson Buchanan 500-1
Michael McGowan 500-1
Jim Herman 500-1
Brian Campbell 500-1
Logan McAllister 500-1
Carson Schaake 500-1
John Chin 500-1
Benjamin James 500-1
Omar Morales 500-1
Luke Clanton 500-1
Neal Shipley 500-1
Gunnar Broin 500-1
Stewart Hagestad 500-1
Carter Jenkins 500-1
Francisco Molinari 500-1
Brandon Robinson Thompson 500-1
Taisei Shimizu 500-1
Chris Naegel 500-1
Willie Mack III 500-1
Hiroshi Tai 500-1
Parker Bell 500-1
Takumi Kanaya 500-1
Colin Prater 500-1
Andrew Svoboda 500-1
Bryan Kim 500-1
Santiago De La Fuente 500-1
Riki Kawamoto 500-1
Joey Vrzich 500-1
Edoardo Molinari 500-1
Martin Kaymer 750-1

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